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As new players land with new teams, MLB.com's fantasy crew keeps you posted on how the fantasy value of the game's top stars could be affected. Check back every day for new player updates.
Moves in February/January:

Trades:
A-Rod/Soriano trade
Guillen traded to Detroit

Free agent signings:
Maddux signs with the Cubs
Simon signs with Pittsburgh
McGriff signs with Tampa Bay
Burks signs with Boston
Cordero signs with Florida
I. Rodriguez signs with Detroit
Mesa signs with Pittsburgh
Womack signs with Boston
Garcia signs with the Mets
Ponson signs with Baltimore
Clemens signs with Houston
Guerrero signs with Anaheim
Payton signs with San Diego
Nelson signs with Texas
Rogers signs with Texas
Tomko signs with San Francisco
M. Anderson signs with St. Louis
Palmeiro signs with Baltimore
Fick signs with Tampa Bay
Jimenez signs with Cleveland
Aurilia signs with Seattle
R. Alomar signs with Arizona
J. Gonzalez signs with KC
Looper signs with Mets
E. Young signs with Texas
Baez signs with Tampa Bay
D'Amico signs with Cleveland

More analysis:
January | December | November


Trades:

Texas trades Alex Rodriguez to the New York Yankees in exchange for Alfonso Soriano

    Alex Rodriguez   /   3B
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 210
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Yankees site

Trades like this are only supposed to happen between fantasy baseball owners or kids playing with their baseball cards.

Both Alex Rodriguez and Alfonso Soriano could wind up benefiting from the deal -- in both the real and fantasy worlds.

A-Rod will be leaving one of baseball's most productive hitters' parks, but will be joining the most fearsome lineup in the Majors. Hitting in an order that will feature the likes of Derek Jeter, Jason Giambi, Gary Sheffield, Jorge Posada, Hideki Matsui, Bernie Williams and Kenny Lofton will more than offset his departure from The Ballpark in Arlington.

Since there will be no way for anyone to pitch around the all-world shortstop, Rodriguez is bound to post some of the greatest numbers in Yankees history. He'll have runners on base half the time he steps to the plate and could become the first Yankee in 67 years to top 160 RBIs. If he continues to get on base 40 percent of the time (.401 OBP since 2000), he has a shot to be only the second Yankee in that same time span to top 140 runs (Rickey Henderson scored 146 times in 1985). Rodriguez also will have an excellent chance to become the only Yankee righty since Joe DiMaggio (46 HR in 1937) to hit 40 homers in a season.

While his steal total (17 in 2003) is bound to take a hit with the Yankees, his other numbers should not suffer. Count on him for a .300+ average, 40+ homers, 130+ RBIs, 120+ runs and 10 SBs. He'll also qualify at two positions (SS, 3B) where there is a dearth of offensive talent, making him perhaps the most valuable fantasy asset ever.

A-Rod already was the cream of the fantasy crop, and his move to the Big Apple makes him the obvious No. 1 fantasy pick, in spite of claims that the New York spotlight could affect his performance.

  Alfonso Soriano   /   2B
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 180
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
texasrangers.com

Soriano is coming off a terrible postseason that raised doubts about his worthiness as a first-round fantasy pick, despite back-to-back 35-35 seasons. After watching him flail at countless low and outside pitches last October, many fantasy owners will hesitate when uttering Soriano's name this spring.

Moving to Texas would lift some of the pressure he was experiencing in New York. More importantly, he'd have the added benefit of hitting in a park that yielded a Major League-high 12.2 runs per game last season.

If he can get over his problems at the plate, he could swat 50 homers with the Rangers. If not, you still can expect 35 homers and 30 steals, but an average around .250-.260 would be more likely.

Soriano probably would patrol center field for the Rangers in 2004, but still would qualify as a second baseman in most leagues. As long as your league allows you to continue using him in the infield, he should be considered in the first round of any draft.

Seattle trades Carlos Guillen to Detroit in exchange for Ramon Santiago and prospect Juan Gonzalez

    Carlos Guillen   /   SS
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 180
Bats/Throws: S/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Tigers site

The good news: Guillen will get a chance to play every day in Detroit. The bad news: Guillen is moving from one pitcher's park to another, and will be batting in one of the lowest scoring lineups in baseball.

Guillen, 28, is about as mediocre as it gets when it comes to an offensive shortstop. He can put up decent offensive numbers with 550 ABs, but will never hit more than 10-12 homers or steal more than five bases. He'll have value on AL-only teams, but should be floating around on mixed league waiver wires for most of the season.

Santiago only batted .225 last season with Detroit, and will serve as a backup to Rich Aurilia in Seattle. He is not someone you need to consider drafting this spring.

Free Agent Signings:

Greg Maddux signs a free agent contract with the Chicago Cubs

    Greg Maddux   /   P
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 185
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Cubs site

Even if he has lost a step, Maddux still earned in the $15-20 range in 2003. A winner of 15 games for 16 straight years, he probably has a couple of steady, if unspectacular seasons left in him. He's still a WHIP master, albeit in fewer innings than previously in his career.

Once a guaranteed first-round pick, Maddux will probably fall to rounds 6-9 at mixed league drafts this season. Expect numbers similar to 2003 from the four-time Cy Young Award winner in Chicago.

 

Randall Simon signs a free agent contract with the Pittsburgh Pirates

The free-swinging, left-handed hitting Simon has quietly hit 35 homers the past two seasons. He will likely platoon at first base with Craig Wilson in Pittsburgh this season. If he manages to see regular playing time at some point, he'll be worth a few bucks in NL-only leagues for his power potential alone.

Fred McGriff signs a free agent contract with the Tampa Bay Devil Rays

The Crime Dog should have surrendered to the authorities after his dismal effort in 2003. While Rafael Palmeiro thrived in his quest for 500 home runs, McGriff could only muster 13 of the 22 he needed. His appearance in Tampa's camp is to show other teams he can still play. Unfortunately for McGriff, there is little room for him with Aubrey Huff, Tino Martinez and Robert Fick already in town. He has almost no value unless he hooks on somewhere else.

Ellis Burks signs a free agent contract with the Boston Red Sox

Burks did not play after June 7 due to an elbow injury, and now finds himself back with the team he started his career with 17 years ago. He'll have little value since he won't be starting in Boston and should not be drafted this spring unless an injury opens up more playing time.

Wil Cordero signs a free agent contract with the Florida Marlins

Cordero didn't do half bad for a guy who played nearly as many games in 2003 as he did in the previous three seasons combined. He gives the defending World Series champions depth at first base and outfield, and will likely be in a platoon situation at first with left-handed-hitting Hee Seop Choi. Minimal value, waiver wire best case scenario.

Pudge Rodriguez signs a free agent contract with the Detroit Tigers

    Ivan Rodriguez  /  C
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 218
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Tigers site

One of the best-hitting catchers of all time, Pudge spearheaded the Marlins' run to the 2003 World Series title by hitting .297 with 16 homers and 85 RBIs. He's a run-producer through and through, but will have trouble finding runners to drive home in Detroit. His homer total has dropped off every year since winning the AL MVP in 1999, and playing in Comerica Park will not help his cause in 2004.

At 32, he still has a few productive years left, but don't expect anything more than a .300 average with 20 homers and 90 RBIs this season. Regardless, he should be one of the top catchers selected at any draft.

Jose Mesa signs a free agent contract with the Pittsburgh Pirates

Mesa is not the high relief pick he once was, considering his 6.52 ERA and 1.76 WHIP from 2003, but he always finds his way into save situations. He will compete with Juan Acevedo for the Pittsburgh closer job, left vacated by the trade of Mike Williams last July and the offseason loss of free agent Julian Tavarez. If he beats out Acevedo, he'll have value in any fantasy league, despite the high ERA and WHIP.

Tony Womack signs a free agent contract with the Boston Red Sox

Offseason elbow surgery and advancing age place Womack in a precarious fantasy position: coming off the pine for the Cubbies. Although he swiped only 13 bags last season, Womack is still a credible steals threat, and could serve as a late-round prayer in an AL or mixed league if you're desperate in that regard.

Karim Garcia signs a free agent contract with the New York Mets

If there's anything Garcia can do, it's hit for power. He crushed 16 homers in just 202 at-bats two seasons ago, and did more of the same last year (11 homers, 244 at-bats). Garcia's inability to hit left-handers will likely keep him pinned in a platoon role with the Mets. Don't bother going after him if you play in a mixed league.

Sidney Ponson signs a free agent contract with the Baltimore Orioles

    Sidney Ponson   /   P
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 225
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Orioles site

Ponson got off to a great start with Baltimore in 2003, going 14-6 with a 3.77 ERA, before getting shipped to San Francisco prior to the trading deadline. His success surprised many people, considering he had never finished with a winning record in his career.

After going 7-9 in 2002, fantasy owners ignored Ponson's name on draft day last year, and instead scrambled to pick him up after he went 4-1 in May. Improved command, a great mixture of four pitches and health were the main reasons behind his new-found success. When he landed in the National League, he stopped winning games, but did post a respectable 1.21 WHIP and 3.71 ERA.

At 27, Ponson still has a ways to go before he joins the elite pitchers of the AL, but he should be considered a top option once the league's best arms have been drafted. With a revamped Orioles offense giving him more run support in 2004, Ponson should win 15-18 games if he is able to stay healthy.

Roger Clemens signs a free agent contract with the Houston Astros

   Roger Clemens   /   P
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 238
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Astros site

Clemens’ return to the game, after a very brief three months in retirement, is a welcome sight for any baseball fan (outside of those who reside in Boston or New York). It’s also great for any fantasy owners who have Clemens in keeper leagues and were getting ready to cut him loose (if they hadn’t done so already).

At age 41, the Rocket still has great stuff. He strikes people out, posts a better than average ERA and WHIP, and can win games like few other pitchers in history. He’ll also have great bullpen support in Houston, which will help him limit the amount of innings he has to pitch this season.

Minute Maid Park isn’t the best place in the world to pitch, but Clemens didn’t exactly excel at Yankee Stadium last season, either. His ERA at home was 5.22 in 2003, compared to just 2.53 on the road. In other words, his new surroundings shouldn’t hurt him much, especially if he is still able to throw the ball by hitters.

There are better top-notch starters in the NL, but having Clemens on your team in 2004 will do you more good than harm. Expect 12-15 wins, an ERA near 4.00 and another solid strikeout total (especially with the added benefit of facing the pitcher instead of a DH). Age and injury risk will keep him affordable, so grab Clemens if he comes cheap or is available in the later rounds.

Vladimir Guerrero signs a free agent contract with the Anaheim Angels

    Vladimir Guerrero   /   RF
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 210
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Hit chart

A perennial-first round pick, Guerrero is truly one of the elite fantasy players. He is the ultimate definition of a five-tool player, and as he approaches his 28th birthday, he's already had six huge offensive seasons.

The lone question heading into 2004 is if his back is fully healed. He missed a month and a half of action in 2003, but returned to hit .353 with 17 homers and 46 RBIs in 218 ABs. The only thing that appeared to disappear with his injury was his stolen base total (9).

Even though he'll be playing in a pitcher-friendly park, expect Guerrero to continue to be one of the elite outfielders in all of baseball. He should be a first-round pick at every fantasy draft this spring, although he won't go No. 1 overall as he did at many drafts in 2003.

With Guerrero moving into an already crowded outfield in Anaheim, look for Darin Erstad to spend most of the season manning first base. The acquisition of Guerrero also means more RBI and run-scoring opportunities for the entire Angels lineup, raising the value of Garret Anderson (if he isn't traded), Jose Guillen, Tim Salmon and the rest of the Anaheim hitters.

Jay Payton signs a free agent contract with the San Diego Padres

    Jay Payton   /   OF
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 185
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Padres site

How much of Payton’s success in 2003 was due to him playing in Colorado? Some of it, but a lot was due to the fact he played his first full season in three years. While his OPS was more than 100 points higher at Coors Field (.917 to .813), Payton actually hit two more home runs away from home (15 to 13).

Payton will be San Diego’s sixth-place hitter to start the season, bumping Xavier Nady from the Opening Day starting lineup. He has always had the tools to hit .300 and smack 25 homers, but up until last year had only totaled 400 or more ABs twice in his career.

While he is no guarantee to put up strong numbers in ’04, Payton will make a great fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues. He’ll probably be undervalued at your draft because people will assume Colorado inflated his numbers last year, so grab him if he comes cheap or in the middle to late rounds.

Jeff Nelson signs a free agent contract with the Texas Rangers

    Jeff Nelson   /   P
Height: 6'8"
Weight: 235
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Rangers site

Nelson isn’t as dominant as he was during his glory days with the Yankees, and pitching in a park where 5.00+ ERAs are the norm will not help his numbers in 2004.

He has struggled the past two seasons and is no longer considered one of baseball’s top right-handed relievers. In 2001, opponents batted just .136 against Nelson. That number rose to .221 in 2002 and .241 in 2003, causing both the Yankees and Mariners to lose some faith in him during tight ballgames.

With Texas’ bullpen situation a little uncertain, the chance exists that Nelson could pick up a number of saves during the season. If he serves only as a setup man, he will have little value if he continues to put up mediocre numbers.

Kenny Rogers signs a free agent contract with the Texas Rangers

    Kenny Rogers   /   P
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 217
Bats/Throws: L/L

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Rangers site

Texas has brought Rogers back for a third tour of duty with the Rangers, and he could actually wind up as the team’s Opening Day starter. Unlike his new big league club, fantasy players who have owned Rogers in the past should not be looking to add the 39-year-old lefty to their rotation.

Rogers is not an overpowering pitcher and will not help your ERA or WHIP. Pitching in Texas will not help his cause much either, and it is hard to see Rogers lasting at the top of a very weak Rangers rotation for long.

While he could win 10-12 games if he sticks in the rotation, he’s not worth considering unless you are in an extremely deep AL-only league. You’ll be better off taking a gamble on a young arm than using up a roster spot on Rogers.

Brett Tomko signs a free agent contract with the San Francisco Giants

    Brett Tomko   /   P
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Giants site

After a rough start to 2004, Tomko won 11 of his final 15 decisions and ranked fifth in the NL in wins after the All-Star Break. He has thrown over 200 innings the past two seasons, and while his numbers aren't very impressive, he should improve this season with the Giants.

While playing in San Francisco is always a good thing for a pitcher, Tomko needs to learn how to succeed on the road if he is to become a 15-game winner. Last year he sported an ugly 7.77 ERA away from St. Louis (2.88 at home), allowing 26 homers and a .349 average in just under 100 innings of work.

He'll move into the back end of the Giants rotation, bumping either Dustin Hermanson or Kevin Correia out of their spot. Tomko is a decent No. 5 starter in NL-only leagues, based solely on the fact he won 13 games last year and will be pitching in a great pitcher's park. He is not recommended in mixed leagues until he shows improvement away from home.

Marlon Anderson signs a free agent contract with the St. Louis Cardinals

    Marlon Anderson  /  2B
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 200
Bats/Throws: R/L

More info:
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Cardinals site

Anderson appears to be the leading candidate to take over the Cardinals starting second base job. He is coming off a season that saw him tally career highs with 19 stolen bases and 67 RBIs.

Bo Hart will be Anderson's biggest competition this spring, but will have to have an impressive spring to win the job.

Anderson can hit for a decent average (.267 career) and has enough pop in his bat to total 10-12 homers. Hitting in a better lineup (St. Louis compared to Tampa Bay) should help his numbers in 2004, and if he is the everyday starter, he'll make a good choice in NL-only leagues once the top names are gone. Mixed-league owners should use Anderson only in their middle infield slots.

Rafael Palmeiro signs a free agent contract with the Baltimore Orioles

    Rafael Palmeiro  /  1B
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 190
Bats/Throws: L/L

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Orioles site

Has there ever been a hitter in the history of fantasy baseball who is so underappreciated? Is there something wrong with drafting a guy who has hit 38 or more home runs in nine straight seasons?

Fantasy owners have this inexplicable aversion to Palmeiro, which causes him to drop lower than he should at almost any fantasy draft. Part of it is due to his age (he’s 39) and part of it is due to the fact he isn’t the most “exciting” guy to have on your team.

His average has been heading south the past four seasons, but his other numbers have held strong as he has aged. He’ll be hitting in a revamped Orioles lineup and will have plenty of RBI and run opportunities this season. While he shouldn’t be drafted in the first several rounds, grab him if he drops too low. It’s always nice to have a guaranteed 30 homers and 100 RBIs from any fantasy player.

And for those eight of you hoping for a big year from David Segui, it’s not going to happen.

Robert Fick signs a free agent contract with the Tampa Bay Devil Rays

    Robert Fick  /  1B
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 189
Bats/Throws: L/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Devil Rays site

Fick is coming off a season where he drove in a career-high 80 runs, while hitting .269 with 11 homers. Decent numbers, but not the kind you want from a fantasy first baseman.

Tampa Bay will erase most of Fick's value because he won't be starting. Tino Martinez is slated to be the Rays first baseman, and Fick will likely spend most of his time coming off the bench to pinch hit.

With Tino's production on the decline, there is a chance Fick could get more playing time as the season progresses. Until that happens, Fick should find a home on your league's waiver wire.

Jose Jimenez signs a free agent contract with the Cleveland Indians

    Jose Jimenez   /   P
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 228
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Indians site

Leaving the unfriendly skies of Colorado is great for any pitcher. Signing with a team where you will not be closing is not so great.

Jimenez and David Riske will be first in line to take over closing duties should Bob Wickman fail to make a successful comeback from elbow surgery. If that situation does arise, Jimenez will still be one of the cheapest fantasy closers because of his high ERA and WHIP, as well as the fact he'll be pitching for a sub-.500 team.

If you play in a deeper AL-only league and can afford to stash Jimenez away on your bench, draft him. If not, wait until it looks like he might start picking up saves before adding him to your squad.

Rich Aurilia signs a free agent contract with the Seattle Mariners

    Rich Aurilia   /   SS
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 189
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Mariners site

Aurilia hasn't come close to matching his 2001 numbers (.324-37-97) the past two years. After a mediocre 2002 (.257-15-61), many fantasy owners gambled on Aurilia in 2003, hoping he would return to his All-Star form. It never happened. Aurilia's HR total dropped to 13 and he knocked in only 58 runs while hitting .277.

Changing stadiums and leagues will not help Aurilia much. Safeco Field is not the place you want to go if you want to get your career back on track as a hitter. He'll also be in a division that features two solid pitching staffs (Anaheim and Seattle). Aurilia will, however, be in a better lineup than he was in San Francisco, and will see more run and RBI opportunities.

Once the top four (A-Rod, Nomar, Jeter and Tejada) are gone, Aurilia is a good option if you are playing in an AL-only league. As far as mixed leagues, he might not even be worth starting if you play in a 10-team league.

Roberto Alomar signs a free agent contract with the Arizona Diamondbacks

    Roberto Alomar   /   2B
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 185
Bats/Throws: S/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Diamondbacks site

How the mighty have fallen. Two years ago, Alomar was considered by many to be fantasy baseball's top second baseman. By the end of last season, his name was barely in any mixed-league starting lineup.

His bat has become much slower and his speed on the bases has also diminished considerably. While Alomar will start at second for Arizona, he is a major longshot to ever bat .300, hit 15 homers or steal 20 bases again.

Unlike last year, when many people gambled and still drafted him early, Alomar should be available late this year. He is still worth taking before any lower-tier second baseman, but should not be counted on to do anything special.

Juan Gonzalez signs a free agent contract with the Kansas City Royals

    Juan Gonzalez   /   OF
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 220
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Royals site

Gonzalez has always been a huge power threat, but he just hasn't been able to stay healthy. He has been on the disabled list nine times since first arriving in the Majors in 1989, including lengthy stints the past two years.

While he missed half of last season, Gonzalez still managed to crank 24 homers in 327 ABs. He remains a terrifying force, especially against lefties, and will reach the 500-homer plateau before his playing days are over. Moving out of Texas could hurt his power numbers somewhat, but Kansas City actually ranked as the third best hitter's park in the Majors last year.

A healthy Gonzalez is a top choice in the outfield. An injured one can still help your team. He's a risk, but if he drops down to the middle to late rounds, you'll be better off with a half-season from Gonzalez than picking a guy who is only going to hit .270 with 15 homers.

Braden Looper signs a free agent contract with the New York Mets

  Braden Looper   /   P
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 225
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
mets.com

Looper performed well in the closer's role for Florida in 2003, before two consecutive blown saves cost him his job late in the season. His ERA was actually 2.91 before those two outings, yet jumped to 3.68 in the final two weeks.

He'll be the Mets' regular closer in 2004, and with few other options for manager Art Howe, Looper will have to pitch poorly to lose his job. His signing also gives relief prospects Tyler Yates, Royce Ring and Orber Moreno more time to develop in the minor leagues.

Looper can hit the upper 90s on the radar gun, but is not a big strikeout pitcher. His WHIP is nothing to write home about, either. Since he should reach 30 saves this season (he had 28 in 2003), he's worth owning in any style league. Just don't panic and pick him too early if many of the top closers are gone.

Eric Young signs a free agent contract with the Texas Rangers

    Eric Young   /   2B
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 180
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Hit chart
Rangers site

Young surprised many people last year by hitting a career-high 15 home runs at age 36 (he had never hit more than eight in a season). He topped 25 steals for the ninth straight year, but batted a career-low .251.

While Young still has the ability to put up useful fantasy numbers, he'll have trouble doing so without a full-time job in Texas. Young will back up Michael Young at second and Laynce Nix in the outfield, and could also see time at DH.

If he hits well, he'll probably get 400 ABs, but the risk is there that he fizzles out and only see 200 ABs. Unless he becomes a starter, he should only be on AL-only rosters.

Danys Baez signs a free agent contract with the Tampa Bay Devil Rays

    Danys Baez  /  P
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 225
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Stats
Splits
Devil Rays site

Baez should take over Tampa Bay's closing duties, although Lance Carter still has a chance to be the primary closer. Baez's numbers were slightly better than Carter's last year, and since it is unlikely that Tampa Bay would spend a lot of money on a setup man, Baez has the inside track for the job.

He went 2-9 with a 3.81 ERA and 25 saves in '03, but his 10 blown saves led to him losing his closer's job to David Riske late in the season. He did not pick up a single save after Aug. 9, and posted an ugly 5.56 ERA in September.

While any closer automatically has value, Baez should be near the bottom of every list. Tampa isn't the best place to rack up saves, and if Carter takes back his job, Baez will be nothing more than your average setup man.

Jeff D'Amico signs a minor league contract with the Cleveland Indians

    Jeff D'Amico   /   P
Height: 6'7"
Weight: 250
Bats/Throws: R/R

More info:
Player page
Stats
Splits
Indians site
etopps

The good news for D'Amico owners last year was that he finally stayed healthy for an entire season. The bad news was that he led the NL in losses (16) and ended the season with a 4.77 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

He could land a rotation spot in Cleveland, but with a weak offense behind him, D'Amico isn't likely to win many games. Since he does not strike many hitters out, either, he'll have little fantasy value heading into this season. Even if he does pitch well, the risk of injury is always looming over his head. Pass on him come draft day.

 

More analysis:
January | December | November

This story was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.