06/07/07 12:27 PM ET
Last-minute shifts alter Draft projections
As teams scramble to fill needs, names rise and fall on board
By Jonathan Mayo / MLB.com
With some new last-minute information, I'm going to give this one last shot. Here is the last, final (honestly) projection for the first round before things get under way at 2 p.m.
1. Tampa Bay Devil Rays: David Price, LHP, Vanderbilt University
He's been the guy, he is the guy, and he'll continue to be the guy.
2. Kansas City Royals: Mike Moustakas, 3B, Chatsworth HS (Calif.)
Some last-minute information coming in, with the Royals going with Moustakas and not Josh Vitters.
3. Chicago Cubs: Josh Vitters, 3B, Cypress HS (Calif.)
This is the guy the Cubs wanted anyway, and with the Royals taking Moustakas, he's here for them.
4. Pittsurgh Pirates: Daniel Moskos, LHP, Clemson
They've wanted Vitters all along, but with that scenario not happening, they'll go with who they think is the top college lefty.
5. Baltimore Orioles: Phillipe Aumont, RHP, Ecole Du Versant Gatineau, Quebec
They may still be debating, but it was looking like they were leaning back to the tall, Canadian right-hander.
6. Washington Nationals: Ross Detwiler, LHP, Missouri State
There's still some consideration being given to a guy like Matt Wieters, but they'll go with the lefty with good stuff instead.
7. Milwaukee Brewers: Jarrod Parker, RHP, Norwell HS (Ind.)
They'd consider one of the college lefties, but since they're gone, they'll go with the high-school righty with a ton of upside.
8. Colorado Rockies: Casey Weathers, RHP, Vanderbilt
I think the Rockies wouldn't mind getting a college arm here like Detwiler or Moskos, but both are gone, so they'll go with the college power arm out of the bullpen that should get there fast.
9. Arizona Diamondbacks: Nick Schmidt, LHP, Arkansas
No one has helped themselves more lately than Schmidt, the consummate pitchability lefty who tossed a shutout in conference tournament play and was stellar again in Regional action.
10. San Francisco Giants: Matt Wieters, C, Georgia Tech
With three picks in the top 30, they can take a chance on a guy perceived to be a tough sign.
11. Seattle Mariners: Sean Doolittle, 1B, University of Virginia
With none of the arms they wanted still available, they'll go with the "safe" college hitter in Doolittle, who's name has been all over the top third of the first round.
|1. TB||LHP||David Price||Vanderbilt U|
|2. KC||SS||Michael Moustakas||Chatsworth HS (Calif.)|
|3. CHC||3B||Josh Vitters||Cypress HS (Calif.)|
|4. PIT||LHP||Daniel Moskos||Clemson U|
|5. BAL||C||Matthew Wieters||Georgia Tech|
|6. WSH||LHP||Ross Detwiler||Missouri St U|
|7. MIL||LF||Matthew LaPorta||U Florida|
|8. COL||RHP||Casey Weathers||Vanderbilt U|
|9. ARI||RHP||Jarrod Parker||Norwell HS|
|10. SF||LHP||Madison Bumgarner||South Caldwell HS|
12. Florida Marlins: Julio Borbon, OF, University of Tennessee
They won't draft based on need, even though they do need a leadoff-type center fielder, but they'll take Borbon because he's the best guy left on the board.
13. Cleveland Indians: Blake Beavan, RHP, Irving HS (Texas)
Staying the same with this projection, as the Indians have been on the Texas prep standout for some time. Think Adam Miller, redux.
14. Atlanta Braves: Michael Main, RHP, Deland HS (Fla.)
Sure they could go local in Georgia, but look for them to head south to Florida to take Main, a terrific athlete and the kind of power arm the Braves covet.
15. Cincinnati Reds: Devin Mesoraco, C, Punxsatawney HS (Pa.)
The Reds will be happy Mesoraco, one of the better all-around catchers in the class, will still be around for them.
16. Toronto Blue Jays: Beau Mills, 3B, Lewis-Clark State
Outside of Matt Wieters, Mills is probably the top college position player. The Jays will worry what position he plays later.
17. Texas Rangers: Matt Harvey, RHP, Fitch HS (Conn.)
There's an inclination to put a Scott Boras guy here. This time, it's Harvey, the high-schooler from the Northeast.
18. St. Louis Cardinals: Kevin Ahrens, 3B, Memorial HS (Texas)
The Cardinals seem not to be a college-only team right now and might want to show that by taking a high school bat in this spot.
19. Philadelphia Phillies: Jason Heyward, Henry County HS (Ga.)
Sometimes the Phillies are unfairly put with toolsy outfielders because they like that kind of player. In this case, this wouldn't be unfair.
20. Los Angeles Dodgers: Matt Dominguez, 3B, Chatsworth HS (Calif.)
They didn't think Dominguez would be here for them. The idea of bringing in a bat with that kind of potential -- from a local kid, no less -- will be too hard for them to pass up.
21. Toronto Blue Jays: Peter Kozma, SS, Owasso HS (Okla.)
The thinking all along was that the Jays would take one college player and one high-schooler with their two first-rounders. After getting Mills, they'll get the prepster in Kozma here.
22. San Francisco Giants: Aaron Poreda, LHP, University of San Francisco
Here's the second college guy for the Giants and one from the team's own backyard.
23. San Diego Padres: James Simmons, RHP, UC-Riverside
In all likelihood, the Padres will end up going with a college arm here, and Simmons may be the best one left on the board.
24. Texas Rangers: Kyle Russell, OF, University of Texas
As a sophomore, signability might be a concern, but the Rangers do like taking guys from their neighborhood.
25. Chicago White Sox: Chris Withrow, RHP, Midland Christian HS (Texas)
The projectable Texas right-hander's dad played pro ball, in the White Sox organization no less. The only thing that might throw this one out the window is if Withrow goes ahead of the Sox, with teams like the Phillies and Dodgers reportedly interested.
26. Oakland A's: Todd Frazier, 3B, Rutgers University
There are at least a dozen names the A's are likely considering for this spot, and it could depend on who filters down from above. They'll go with Frazier, who plays shortstop in college but will have to move to third or perhaps a corner outfield spot as a pro.
27. Detroit Tigers: Tim Alderson, RHP, Horizon HS, Scottsdale (Ariz.)
Several teams have been on the Arizona prep right-hander, and while some scouts were concerned with Alderson's unorthodox delivery, the Tigers have been on him all year.
28. Minnesota Twins: Madison Bumgarner, LHP, South Caldwell HS (N.C.)
The Twins would love it if Peter Kozma were still around, but it seems unlikely that he will be. So they'll look and see the big, projectable -- yet raw -- left arm of Bumgarner, and snag him here.
29. San Francisco Giants: Josh Smoker, LHP, Calhoun HS (Ga.)
With a host of teams looking at high school arms, it might be a reach to think Smoker will last this far down. But if he does, the Giants won't hesitate to take him.
30. New York Yankees: Rick Porcello, RHP, Seton Hall Prep
Why not? In some ways, it almost seems too obvious to happen. The Yankees are in a position where they can wait and see who might fall in their lap.
Jonathan Mayo is a reporter for MLB.com. This story was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.